In a speech in the House of Commons on 20th March, Andrew Tyrie claimed that more bank lending was central to the recovery. (There is an excerpt from his speech below).
Unfortunately the evidence from employer surveys does not exactly support Tyrie’s claim, though no doubt he can be forgiven for overestimating the importance of banks given that he has spent several months as chairman of the Banking Standards committee (and done the job brilliantly).
After an hour’s Googling, I unearthed the following three surveys, the first two from the UK and the third from the US.
1. Kirklees.
This survey (p.23) done by Kirkless council found the percentage of employers citing sundry barriers to growth to be as follows. Apologies re the wonky columns.
General economic climate 23
Lack of customers 20
Competition 19
Cash flow 16
Interest rates 16
Business costs 13
Strength of pound 12
Market size 11
Access to bank finance 9
Transport costs 8
Legislation 8
Lack of capital investment 7
Energy costs 7
Shilled labour shortage 5
2. Shropshire survey (p.1)
Equivalent figures for a survey done in Shropshire:
State of the economy 64
Red tape 48
Taxes 45
Energy costs 45
transport costs 43
Cashflow 42
Competition 37
Labour costs 33
Availability of finance 30
Size of market 29
Exchange rate 21
Keeping up with technology 19
Broadband speed. 18
3. American Sustainable Small Business Council.
This survey done by the above organisation asked employers, “Which of the following is the most important problem right now for your small business?” Answers were as follows.
Weak customer demand 34
Cost of health coverage etc 15
Government regulations 14
taxes 12
Competition 10
Availability of credit 6
Availability of skills 5
Excerpt from Andrew Tyrie’s speech.
“…but the plain fact remains that small and medium-sized businesses in our constituencies cannot get the funding they need from the banks. Banks lack the confidence to lend to them, and businesses lack the confidence to borrow from banks on the terms offered. The SME sector cannot fully recover until the partly state-owned banks return to more normal lending behaviour….”
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And this ECB survey of European firms (see chart on p.4) simply confirmed the above, namely that access to finance is not problem No.1. It’s “equal second” problem, and of no more importance than three or four others.
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